Presentations Marshall Bursis Presentations Marshall Bursis

The Impact of the Inflation Reduction Act on Early-Stage Biomedical Investment Decisions

When assessing the viability of an investment, investors attempt to calculate the business’s or product’s net-present value (NPV). The NPV combines a project’s likelihood of success with an estimate of the money it may make over time to determine its present value to investors. The price-setting provisions of the IRA reduce the NPV of any drug candidate at launch by 40%. If investors aren’t confident they will earn a return on their investment, they won’t invest in new drug candidates, and most ideas will never leave the laboratory.

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Advocacy Marshall Bursis Advocacy Marshall Bursis

NEW LETTER: Investors and executives urge the Congressional Budget Office to adopt changes to its modeling

CBO’s ability to correctly model investor decision-making is vital to our country’s ability to establish policies that achieve lasting biomedical affordability and continued innovation. In support of CBO’s efforts to improve its model, this letter emphasizes a number of economic and financial first principles, notably that investment is incentivized by expected returns based on discounted profits, not revenue, and adjusted for expected dilution from financings.

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